Skip to content

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18

Académico Viseu

ACA

Benfica

BEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Académico Viseu15%
Draw21%
Benfica64%

Expected goals

0.98 – 2.10

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–110.3%
  • 0–210.2%
  • 1–210.0%
  • 1–19.4%
  • 1–37.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

37%Possession61%
29%Territory36%
14%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.09
7.1%Directness3.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Académico Viseu, 1 for Benfica. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Benfica

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.