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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18

Académico Viseu

ACA

Benfica

BEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Académico Viseu9%
Draw16%
Benfica76%

Expected goals

0.77 – 2.49

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0212.1%
  • 0110.1%
  • 039.7%
  • 129.1%
  • 137.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Benfica will have the ball; Académico Viseu will not mind.

47%Possession66%
24%Territory52%
17%From set plays30%
0.11Chance quality0.13
8.3%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Académico Viseu, 4 for Benfica. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.