Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18
Alverca
ALV
FC Porto
FCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alverca11%
Draw19%
FC Porto70%
Expected goals
0.77 – 2.20
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–212.5%
- 0–111.8%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–38.8%
- 1–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Porto will have the ball; Alverca will not mind.
42%Possession59%
32%Territory39%
37%From set plays37%
0.14Chance quality0.20
6.0%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Alverca, 3 for FC Porto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.