Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18
Braga
BRA
Moreirense
MOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Braga62%
Draw23%
Moreirense15%
Expected goals
1.89 – 0.86
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 2–011.3%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession48%
54%Territory30%
36%From set plays11%
0.08Chance quality0.10
2.9%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Braga, 2 for Moreirense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 90 matches, not the full season.