Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18
Braga
BRA
Moreirense
MOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Braga71%
Draw18%
Moreirense11%
Expected goals
2.25 – 0.78
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.3%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–08.8%
- 1–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Braga will have the ball; Moreirense will not mind.
61%Possession33%
49%Territory23%
23%From set plays37%
0.10Chance quality0.11
3.1%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Braga, 4 for Moreirense.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.