Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Marítimo
MAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Casa Pia AC32%
Draw29%
Marítimo39%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.30
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–010.0%
- 0–09.8%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Marítimo will have the ball; Casa Pia AC will not mind.
42%Possession50%
42%Territory28%
52%From set plays67%
0.06Chance quality0.08
6.5%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Casa Pia AC, 3 for Marítimo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Casa Pia AC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.