Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18
Rio Ave
RIO
Gil Vicente
GIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rio Ave21%
Draw27%
Gil Vicente51%
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.52
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.7%
- 1–112.2%
- 0–09.7%
- 0–29.7%
- 1–29.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rio Ave get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
39%Possession47%
29%Territory35%
27%From set plays10%
0.08Chance quality0.14
6.5%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rio Ave, 3 for Gil Vicente. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.