Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18
Rio Ave
RIO
Gil Vicente
GIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rio Ave24%
Draw29%
Gil Vicente47%
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.38
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.9%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–011.0%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–28.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession39%
36%Territory26%
13%From set plays14%
0.09Chance quality0.09
2.6%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Rio Ave, 3 for Gil Vicente. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 90 matches, not the full season.