Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18
Famalicão
FAM
Estoril
ESO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Famalicão64%
Draw21%
Estoril14%
Expected goals
1.99 – 0.86
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.1%
- 2–011.5%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.8%
- 3–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession46%
18%Territory33%
43%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.5%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Famalicão, 2 for Estoril. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Famalicão
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Estoril
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 90 matches, not the full season.