Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18
Famalicão
FAM
Estoril
ESO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Famalicão53%
Draw27%
Estoril20%
Expected goals
1.51 – 0.85
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.6%
- 1–112.1%
- 0–010.4%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Famalicão will have the ball; Estoril will not mind.
49%Possession41%
38%Territory30%
43%From set plays20%
0.08Chance quality0.07
4.9%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Famalicão, 3 for Estoril. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Famalicão
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.