Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18
Sporting CP
SCP
Estrela da Amadora
EST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting CP79%
Draw14%
Estrela da Amadora7%
Expected goals
2.73 – 0.75
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.8%
- 3–010.3%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–18.6%
- 3–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sporting CP will have the ball; Estrela da Amadora will not mind.
66%Possession47%
46%Territory35%
6%From set plays15%
0.14Chance quality0.09
3.9%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting CP, 4 for Estrela da Amadora. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting CP
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.