Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18
Sporting CP
SCP
Estrela da Amadora
EST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting CP78%
Draw14%
Estrela da Amadora7%
Expected goals
2.60 – 0.73
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.3%
- 3–010.3%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–18.8%
- 3–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession55%
52%Territory39%
10%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.08
4.4%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting CP, 2 for Estrela da Amadora. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Estrela da Amadora
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.