Liga Portugal · Matchweek 17
Sporting CP
SCP
Santa Clara
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting CP73%
Draw18%
Santa Clara9%
Expected goals
2.26 – 0.70
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.4%
- 1–012.3%
- 3–09.7%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession44%
52%Territory33%
10%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.10
4.4%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting CP, 2 for Santa Clara. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 90 matches, not the full season.