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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 17

Sporting CP

SCP

Santa Clara

SAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sporting CP63%
Draw23%
Santa Clara13%

Expected goals

1.79 – 0.72

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

44%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1015.1%
  • 2012.8%
  • 1110.3%
  • 219.5%
  • 008.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sporting CP will have the ball; Santa Clara will not mind.

66%Possession48%
46%Territory32%
6%From set plays14%
0.14Chance quality0.13
3.9%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting CP, 3 for Santa Clara. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Santa Clara

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.