Liga Portugal · Matchweek 17
Famalicão
FAM
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Famalicão41%
Draw31%
Vitória de Guimarães28%
Expected goals
1.24 – 0.99
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.6%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–012.1%
- 0–110.5%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession57%
18%Territory42%
43%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.5%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Famalicão, 1 for Vitória de Guimarães. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Famalicão
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Vitória de Guimarães
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.