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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 17

Académico Viseu

ACA

Casa Pia AC

CAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Académico Viseu55%
Draw25%
Casa Pia AC20%

Expected goals

1.73 – 0.97

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.2%
  • 1–111.3%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

37%Possession41%
29%Territory41%
14%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.07
7.1%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Académico Viseu, 2 for Casa Pia AC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 90 matches, not the full season.