Liga Portugal · Matchweek 16
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Rio Ave
RIO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória de Guimarães60%
Draw24%
Rio Ave16%
Expected goals
1.82 – 0.88
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 2–011.0%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Vitória de Guimarães will have the ball; Rio Ave will not mind.
58%Possession39%
40%Territory29%
26%From set plays27%
0.08Chance quality0.08
5.9%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vitória de Guimarães, 3 for Rio Ave. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória de Guimarães
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.