Liga Portugal · Matchweek 16
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Rio Ave
RIO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória de Guimarães62%
Draw23%
Rio Ave15%
Expected goals
1.84 – 0.83
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.3%
- 2–011.6%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession57%
42%Territory36%
16%From set plays13%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.8%Directness2.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Vitória de Guimarães, 2 for Rio Ave. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória de Guimarães
Rio Ave
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.