Liga Portugal · Matchweek 16
Benfica
BEN
Sporting CP
SCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benfica32%
Draw26%
Sporting CP43%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.62
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–17.5%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
61%Possession63%
36%Territory52%
18%From set plays10%
0.09Chance quality0.10
3.1%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Benfica, 2 for Sporting CP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Benfica
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.