Liga Portugal · Matchweek 16
Benfica
BEN
Sporting CP
SCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benfica39%
Draw28%
Sporting CP33%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.28
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.0%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Benfica get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
66%Possession66%
52%Territory46%
30%From set plays6%
0.13Chance quality0.14
4.8%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Benfica, 3 for Sporting CP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Benfica
Sporting CP
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.