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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 16

Moreirense

MOR

Académico Viseu

ACA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Moreirense40%
Draw27%
Académico Viseu33%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.29

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Académico Viseu will have the ball; Moreirense will not mind.

33%Possession47%
23%Territory24%
37%From set plays17%
0.11Chance quality0.11
6.0%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Moreirense, 3 for Académico Viseu. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.