Liga Portugal · Matchweek 16
Moreirense
MOR
Académico Viseu
ACA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Moreirense45%
Draw28%
Académico Viseu28%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.13
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–08.5%
- 0–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession37%
30%Territory29%
11%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.08
4.2%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Moreirense, 2 for Académico Viseu. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.