Liga Portugal · Matchweek 16
Marítimo
MAR
Braga
BRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marítimo21%
Draw25%
Braga54%
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.69
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.0%
- 1–111.5%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–29.5%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession63%
31%Territory54%
56%From set plays36%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.2%Directness2.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Marítimo, 3 for Braga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Marítimo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.