Liga Portugal · Matchweek 16
Marítimo
MAR
Braga
BRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marítimo18%
Draw24%
Braga57%
Expected goals
0.93 – 1.78
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.4%
- 1–111.0%
- 0–210.3%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Braga will have the ball; Marítimo will not mind.
50%Possession61%
28%Territory49%
67%From set plays23%
0.08Chance quality0.10
7.0%Directness3.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Marítimo, 4 for Braga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.