Liga Portugal · Matchweek 16
Gil Vicente
GIL
Arouca
ARO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gil Vicente37%
Draw32%
Arouca31%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.01
Over 2.5
36%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.5%
- 0–013.5%
- 1–013.5%
- 0–111.9%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession67%
31%Territory45%
14%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gil Vicente, 2 for Arouca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gil Vicente
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.