Liga Portugal · Matchweek 16
Gil Vicente
GIL
Arouca
ARO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gil Vicente50%
Draw28%
Arouca23%
Expected goals
1.50 – 0.95
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–09.7%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–09.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arouca will have the ball; Gil Vicente will not mind.
47%Possession56%
35%Territory43%
10%From set plays6%
0.14Chance quality0.09
4.7%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gil Vicente, 3 for Arouca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arouca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.