Liga Portugal · Matchweek 16
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Famalicão
FAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Casa Pia AC16%
Draw25%
Famalicão58%
Expected goals
0.77 – 1.64
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–115.2%
- 0–211.8%
- 1–111.2%
- 0–09.8%
- 1–29.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession42%
41%Territory18%
24%From set plays43%
0.07Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Casa Pia AC, 2 for Famalicão. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Casa Pia AC
Famalicão
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.