Liga Portugal · Matchweek 15
Sporting CP
SCP
Estoril
ESO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting CP88%
Draw8%
Estoril4%
Expected goals
3.42 – 0.70
Over 2.5
77%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-2.50
Most likely scorelines
- 3–011.1%
- 2–010.0%
- 4–09.2%
- 3–17.6%
- 2–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession46%
52%Territory33%
10%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.08
4.4%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting CP, 2 for Estoril. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.