Liga Portugal · Matchweek 15
Santa Clara
SAN
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Santa Clara34%
Draw30%
Vitória de Guimarães35%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.18
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–111.5%
- 1–011.3%
- 0–011.0%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession57%
33%Territory42%
27%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.6%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Santa Clara, 1 for Vitória de Guimarães. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória de Guimarães
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.