Liga Portugal · Matchweek 15
Rio Ave
RIO
Benfica
BEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rio Ave13%
Draw19%
Benfica68%
Expected goals
0.89 – 2.24
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.0%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–29.8%
- 1–18.7%
- 0–37.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession61%
36%Territory36%
13%From set plays18%
0.09Chance quality0.09
2.6%Directness3.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Rio Ave, 1 for Benfica. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Rio Ave
Benfica
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.