Liga Portugal · Matchweek 15
Rio Ave
RIO
Benfica
BEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rio Ave7%
Draw14%
Benfica79%
Expected goals
0.69 – 2.63
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–212.8%
- 0–310.9%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–28.6%
- 1–37.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Benfica will have the ball; Rio Ave will not mind.
39%Possession66%
29%Territory52%
27%From set plays30%
0.08Chance quality0.13
6.5%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rio Ave, 4 for Benfica. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.