Liga Portugal · Matchweek 15
Famalicão
FAM
FC Porto
FCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Famalicão17%
Draw29%
FC Porto55%
Expected goals
0.68 – 1.41
Over 2.5
35%
Both to score
38%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–117.8%
- 0–013.4%
- 0–211.9%
- 1–111.7%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession62%
18%Territory51%
43%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.5%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Famalicão, 2 for FC Porto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Famalicão
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.