Liga Portugal · Matchweek 15
Famalicão
FAM
FC Porto
FCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Famalicão12%
Draw24%
FC Porto64%
Expected goals
0.64 – 1.72
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
39%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–116.8%
- 0–213.8%
- 0–010.3%
- 1–110.2%
- 1–29.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession62%
25%Territory51%
46%From set plays12%
0.07Chance quality0.11
5.1%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Famalicão, 2 for FC Porto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Famalicão
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.