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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 15

Braga

BRA

Académico Viseu

ACA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Braga69%
Draw19%
Académico Viseu12%

Expected goals

2.19 – 0.81

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–012.0%
  • 1–011.5%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–18.7%
  • 3–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Braga will have the ball; Académico Viseu will not mind.

61%Possession47%
49%Territory24%
23%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.11
3.1%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Braga, 3 for Académico Viseu. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.