Liga Portugal · Matchweek 15
Braga
BRA
Académico Viseu
ACA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Braga64%
Draw22%
Académico Viseu14%
Expected goals
1.94 – 0.80
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.1%
- 2–012.0%
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 3–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession37%
54%Territory29%
36%From set plays14%
0.08Chance quality0.08
2.9%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Braga, 2 for Académico Viseu. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.