Liga Portugal · Matchweek 15
Arouca
ARO
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arouca59%
Draw24%
Casa Pia AC17%
Expected goals
1.77 – 0.87
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.1%
- 2–010.9%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arouca will have the ball; Casa Pia AC will not mind.
56%Possession42%
43%Territory42%
6%From set plays52%
0.09Chance quality0.06
3.8%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arouca, 3 for Casa Pia AC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.