Liga Portugal · Matchweek 15
Alverca
ALV
Gil Vicente
GIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alverca39%
Draw29%
Gil Vicente31%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.14
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–110.1%
- 0–010.0%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
33%Possession41%
24%Territory31%
36%From set plays14%
0.13Chance quality0.10
6.3%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Alverca, 2 for Gil Vicente. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gil Vicente
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.