Liga Portugal · Matchweek 14
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Alverca
ALV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória de Guimarães52%
Draw26%
Alverca22%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.03
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.8%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Vitória de Guimarães will have the ball; Alverca will not mind.
58%Possession42%
40%Territory32%
26%From set plays37%
0.08Chance quality0.14
5.9%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vitória de Guimarães, 3 for Alverca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória de Guimarães
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.