Liga Portugal · Matchweek 14
Benfica
BEN
Braga
BRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benfica51%
Draw25%
Braga24%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.13
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
64%Possession63%
47%Territory54%
18%From set plays36%
0.08Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness2.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Benfica, 3 for Braga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Benfica
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 90 matches, not the full season.