Liga Portugal · Matchweek 14
FC Porto
FCP
Estrela da Amadora
EST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Porto76%
Draw16%
Estrela da Amadora9%
Expected goals
2.51 – 0.78
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.9%
- 1–09.8%
- 3–09.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 3–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Porto will have the ball; Estrela da Amadora will not mind.
59%Possession47%
39%Territory35%
37%From set plays15%
0.20Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Porto, 4 for Estrela da Amadora. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.