Liga Portugal · Matchweek 14
Moreirense
MOR
Famalicão
FAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Moreirense35%
Draw30%
Famalicão36%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.21
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–010.9%
- 0–010.4%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession49%
31%Territory25%
13%From set plays46%
0.09Chance quality0.07
4.6%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Moreirense, 3 for Famalicão. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Famalicão
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.