Liga Portugal · Matchweek 14
Moreirense
MOR
Famalicão
FAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Moreirense25%
Draw29%
Famalicão46%
Expected goals
0.97 – 1.38
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.6%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–010.8%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–28.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Famalicão will have the ball; Moreirense will not mind.
33%Possession49%
23%Territory38%
37%From set plays43%
0.11Chance quality0.08
6.0%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Moreirense, 3 for Famalicão. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Moreirense
Famalicão
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.