Liga Portugal · Matchweek 14
Marítimo
MAR
Rio Ave
RIO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marítimo47%
Draw27%
Rio Ave26%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.12
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession57%
31%Territory36%
56%From set plays13%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness2.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Marítimo, 2 for Rio Ave. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Marítimo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Rio Ave
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 90 matches, not the full season.