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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 14

Gil Vicente

GIL

Sporting CP

SCP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gil Vicente16%
Draw25%
Sporting CP59%

Expected goals

0.81 – 1.72

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 0114.3%
  • 0211.6%
  • 1111.0%
  • 129.6%
  • 008.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sporting CP will have the ball; Gil Vicente will not mind.

47%Possession66%
35%Territory46%
10%From set plays6%
0.14Chance quality0.14
4.7%Directness3.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gil Vicente, 3 for Sporting CP. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.