Liga Portugal · Matchweek 14
Gil Vicente
GIL
Sporting CP
SCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gil Vicente17%
Draw25%
Sporting CP58%
Expected goals
0.85 – 1.70
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.8%
- 1–111.2%
- 0–211.1%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession63%
31%Territory52%
14%From set plays10%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.2%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gil Vicente, 2 for Sporting CP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gil Vicente
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.