Liga Portugal · Matchweek 14
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Nacional
NAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Casa Pia AC31%
Draw28%
Nacional41%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.42
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–08.9%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Casa Pia AC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession47%
42%Territory29%
52%From set plays23%
0.06Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Casa Pia AC, 3 for Nacional. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Casa Pia AC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.