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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 14

Académico Viseu

ACA

Arouca

ARO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Académico Viseu27%
Draw29%
Arouca45%

Expected goals

1.02 – 1.37

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–112.9%
  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–010.3%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

37%Possession67%
29%Territory45%
14%From set plays12%
0.08Chance quality0.09
7.1%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Académico Viseu, 2 for Arouca. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.