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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 14

Académico Viseu

ACA

Arouca

ARO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Académico Viseu34%
Draw28%
Arouca38%

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.38

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.4%
  • 019.8%
  • 109.1%
  • 128.4%
  • 008.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Arouca will have the ball; Académico Viseu will not mind.

47%Possession56%
24%Territory43%
17%From set plays6%
0.11Chance quality0.09
8.3%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Académico Viseu, 3 for Arouca. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Arouca

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.