Liga Portugal · Matchweek 13
Sporting CP
SCP
Marítimo
MAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting CP83%
Draw12%
Marítimo5%
Expected goals
2.88 – 0.67
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.2%
- 3–011.4%
- 1–08.7%
- 4–08.0%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession48%
52%Territory31%
10%From set plays56%
0.10Chance quality0.09
4.4%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting CP, 2 for Marítimo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Marítimo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.