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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 13

Sporting CP

SCP

Marítimo

MAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sporting CP85%
Draw11%
Marítimo4%

Expected goals

2.87 – 0.57

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

41%

Fair handicap

-2.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–013.5%
  • 3–012.6%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 4–08.8%
  • 2–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sporting CP will have the ball; Marítimo will not mind.

66%Possession50%
46%Territory28%
6%From set plays67%
0.14Chance quality0.08
3.9%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting CP, 3 for Marítimo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.