Liga Portugal · Matchweek 13
Santa Clara
SAN
FC Porto
FCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Santa Clara23%
Draw29%
FC Porto48%
Expected goals
0.90 – 1.38
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.5%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–011.4%
- 0–29.3%
- 1–09.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Porto will have the ball; Santa Clara will not mind.
48%Possession59%
32%Territory39%
14%From set plays37%
0.13Chance quality0.20
6.7%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Santa Clara, 3 for FC Porto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Santa Clara
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.