Liga Portugal · Matchweek 13
Santa Clara
SAN
FC Porto
FCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Santa Clara13%
Draw24%
FC Porto63%
Expected goals
0.64 – 1.69
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
39%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–117.0%
- 0–213.7%
- 0–010.5%
- 1–110.3%
- 1–29.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession62%
33%Territory51%
27%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.6%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Santa Clara, 2 for FC Porto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.