Liga Portugal · Matchweek 13
Rio Ave
RIO
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rio Ave45%
Draw28%
Casa Pia AC27%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.06
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–012.2%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Casa Pia AC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
39%Possession42%
29%Territory42%
27%From set plays52%
0.08Chance quality0.06
6.5%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rio Ave, 3 for Casa Pia AC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Casa Pia AC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.