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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 13

Rio Ave

RIO

Casa Pia AC

CAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rio Ave50%
Draw27%
Casa Pia AC23%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.02

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.4%
  • 1–112.1%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–08.9%
  • 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

57%Possession41%
36%Territory41%
13%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.07
2.6%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Rio Ave, 2 for Casa Pia AC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 90 matches, not the full season.