Liga Portugal · Matchweek 13
Estoril
ESO
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Estoril31%
Draw28%
Vitória de Guimarães40%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.37
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–09.3%
- 0–08.9%
- 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Vitória de Guimarães will have the ball; Estoril will not mind.
41%Possession58%
30%Territory40%
20%From set plays26%
0.07Chance quality0.08
8.1%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Estoril, 3 for Vitória de Guimarães. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória de Guimarães
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.