Liga Portugal · Matchweek 13
Braga
BRA
Arouca
ARO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Braga61%
Draw23%
Arouca16%
Expected goals
1.91 – 0.89
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.2%
- 2–011.0%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Braga get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
61%Possession56%
49%Territory43%
23%From set plays6%
0.10Chance quality0.09
3.1%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Braga, 3 for Arouca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arouca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.