Liga Portugal · Matchweek 13
Estrela da Amadora
EST
Gil Vicente
GIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Estrela da Amadora34%
Draw30%
Gil Vicente36%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.19
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–111.7%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–011.0%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession41%
39%Territory31%
29%From set plays14%
0.07Chance quality0.10
6.6%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Estrela da Amadora, 2 for Gil Vicente. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Estrela da Amadora
Gil Vicente
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.