Liga Portugal · Matchweek 13
Alverca
ALV
Moreirense
MOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alverca36%
Draw29%
Moreirense35%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.24
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–110.4%
- 0–09.5%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
32%Possession48%
24%Territory30%
59%From set plays11%
0.06Chance quality0.10
6.3%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Alverca, 2 for Moreirense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Alverca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 90 matches, not the full season.