Liga Portugal · Matchweek 13
Alverca
ALV
Moreirense
MOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alverca34%
Draw29%
Moreirense37%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.31
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
29%Possession48%
23%Territory30%
50%From set plays11%
0.05Chance quality0.10
6.1%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Alverca, 2 for Moreirense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Alverca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.