Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Estrela da Amadora
EST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória de Guimarães45%
Draw26%
Estrela da Amadora29%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.25
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.5%
- 2–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Vitória de Guimarães will have the ball; Estrela da Amadora will not mind.
58%Possession47%
40%Territory35%
26%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.09
5.9%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vitória de Guimarães, 4 for Estrela da Amadora. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória de Guimarães
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.