Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12
Benfica
BEN
Famalicão
FAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benfica58%
Draw25%
Famalicão17%
Expected goals
1.69 – 0.84
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.0%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–011.1%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession42%
43%Territory18%
13%From set plays43%
0.11Chance quality0.10
3.9%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Benfica, 2 for Famalicão. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Famalicão
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 90 matches, not the full season.