Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12
Benfica
BEN
Famalicão
FAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benfica68%
Draw21%
Famalicão11%
Expected goals
1.98 – 0.69
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.3%
- 2–013.6%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–19.3%
- 3–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Benfica will have the ball; Famalicão will not mind.
66%Possession49%
52%Territory38%
30%From set plays43%
0.13Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Benfica, 3 for Famalicão. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Benfica
Famalicão
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.