Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12
FC Porto
FCP
Sporting CP
SCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Porto45%
Draw29%
Sporting CP26%
Expected goals
1.37 – 0.98
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.5%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–010.8%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
62%Possession63%
51%Territory52%
12%From set plays10%
0.11Chance quality0.10
3.4%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FC Porto, 2 for Sporting CP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 90 matches, not the full season.