Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12
FC Porto
FCP
Sporting CP
SCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Porto37%
Draw29%
Sporting CP34%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.22
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–110.2%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Porto get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
59%Possession66%
39%Territory46%
37%From set plays6%
0.20Chance quality0.14
4.9%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Porto, 3 for Sporting CP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting CP
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.