Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12
Moreirense
MOR
Santa Clara
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Moreirense20%
Draw27%
Santa Clara54%
Expected goals
0.87 – 1.57
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.1%
- 1–111.9%
- 0–210.4%
- 0–09.6%
- 1–29.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Santa Clara will have the ball; Moreirense will not mind.
33%Possession48%
23%Territory32%
37%From set plays14%
0.11Chance quality0.13
6.0%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Moreirense, 3 for Santa Clara. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Moreirense
Santa Clara
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.