Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12
Moreirense
MOR
Santa Clara
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Moreirense34%
Draw30%
Santa Clara36%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.21
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–010.6%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession44%
31%Territory33%
13%From set plays27%
0.09Chance quality0.10
4.6%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Moreirense, 2 for Santa Clara. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.