Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12
Gil Vicente
GIL
Estoril
ESO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gil Vicente61%
Draw23%
Estoril17%
Expected goals
1.90 – 0.93
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.9%
- 2–010.6%
- 1–110.4%
- 2–110.0%
- 0–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession46%
31%Territory33%
14%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.2%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gil Vicente, 2 for Estoril. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gil Vicente
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Estoril
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.