Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Braga
BRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Casa Pia AC13%
Draw21%
Braga66%
Expected goals
0.78 – 1.97
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.2%
- 0–212.4%
- 1–29.7%
- 1–19.7%
- 0–37.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession63%
41%Territory54%
24%From set plays36%
0.07Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness2.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Casa Pia AC, 3 for Braga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Casa Pia AC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.