Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Braga
BRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Casa Pia AC13%
Draw21%
Braga66%
Expected goals
0.77 – 1.98
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.2%
- 0–212.5%
- 1–29.7%
- 1–19.6%
- 0–37.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Braga will have the ball; Casa Pia AC will not mind.
42%Possession61%
42%Territory49%
52%From set plays23%
0.06Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness3.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Casa Pia AC, 4 for Braga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Casa Pia AC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.