Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12
Arouca
ARO
Rio Ave
RIO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arouca55%
Draw25%
Rio Ave20%
Expected goals
1.74 – 0.98
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.1%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.8%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arouca will have the ball; Rio Ave will not mind.
56%Possession39%
43%Territory29%
6%From set plays27%
0.09Chance quality0.08
3.8%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arouca, 3 for Rio Ave. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arouca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.