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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12

Académico Viseu

ACA

Alverca

ALV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Académico Viseu46%
Draw28%
Alverca27%

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.10

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–011.7%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–08.7%
  • 0–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

37%Possession29%
29%Territory23%
14%From set plays50%
0.08Chance quality0.05
7.1%Directness6.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Académico Viseu, 1 for Alverca. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Alverca

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.