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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12

Académico Viseu

ACA

Alverca

ALV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Académico Viseu39%
Draw27%
Alverca34%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.32

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Alverca get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

47%Possession42%
24%Territory32%
17%From set plays37%
0.11Chance quality0.14
8.3%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Académico Viseu, 3 for Alverca. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.