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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12

Académico Viseu

ACA

Alverca

ALV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Académico Viseu30%
Draw27%
Alverca42%

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.49

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

37%Possession33%
29%Territory24%
14%From set plays36%
0.08Chance quality0.13
7.1%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Académico Viseu, 2 for Alverca. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.