Liga Portugal · Matchweek 11
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
FC Porto
FCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória de Guimarães16%
Draw26%
FC Porto58%
Expected goals
0.74 – 1.58
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
42%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–116.0%
- 0–211.9%
- 1–111.4%
- 0–010.7%
- 1–29.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession62%
42%Territory50%
16%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Vitória de Guimarães, 2 for FC Porto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória de Guimarães
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.