Liga Portugal · Matchweek 11
Sporting CP
SCP
Moreirense
MOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting CP80%
Draw14%
Moreirense6%
Expected goals
2.63 – 0.67
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.0%
- 3–011.1%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–18.5%
- 3–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession48%
52%Territory31%
10%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.09
4.4%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting CP, 2 for Moreirense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.