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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 11

Sporting CP

SCP

Moreirense

MOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sporting CP86%
Draw10%
Moreirense4%

Expected goals

3.05 – 0.57

Over 2.5

69%

Both to score

42%

Fair handicap

-2.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2012.8%
  • 3012.7%
  • 409.4%
  • 108.6%
  • 317.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sporting CP will have the ball; Moreirense will not mind.

66%Possession33%
46%Territory23%
6%From set plays37%
0.14Chance quality0.11
3.9%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting CP, 4 for Moreirense. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.