Liga Portugal · Matchweek 11
Santa Clara
SAN
Gil Vicente
GIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Santa Clara36%
Draw32%
Gil Vicente33%
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.05
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.5%
- 0–013.1%
- 1–012.8%
- 0–112.1%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession41%
33%Territory31%
27%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.6%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Santa Clara, 2 for Gil Vicente. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gil Vicente
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.