Liga Portugal · Matchweek 11
Rio Ave
RIO
Braga
BRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rio Ave15%
Draw22%
Braga63%
Expected goals
0.86 – 1.94
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.4%
- 0–211.4%
- 1–110.1%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–37.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Braga will have the ball; Rio Ave will not mind.
39%Possession61%
29%Territory49%
27%From set plays23%
0.08Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness3.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rio Ave, 4 for Braga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.